Saturday 4/18/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Saturday 4/18/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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Steve Budin is out off hibernation:

25 DIME 1ST ROUND SERIES PLAY

Rockets - Trailblazers

From the Cali-Cartel

3-1 in Basketball this year (1-0 NBA)


25 DIME BASEBALL RELEASE

Run Line Play on Saturday Night Card

From the Freehold, New Jersey Wise Guys

# 1 Baseball Crew Last Year

11-5 last season for 153.75 dimes profit
 

New member
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havnt been on here for a few days, is it just me or have pm's been turned off?? cheers
 

RX Ball Buster
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Budin's both plays for 49.00 not bad at all.

If no one has em by 4pm, I'll get em.
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Chicago +8' at BOSTON

Early playoff action this Saturday, and we like the Bulls plus the points to cover at Boston.

While Boston has performed well without the services of Kevin Garnett, winning 15 of 22 in his absence, the same cannot be said against the spread in that span, as the C's went just 9-13 against the spread in those 22.

Chicago was able to snap a 6-game series losing streak the last time they faced Boston in the middle of March, and that shot of confidence will help them stay competitive in this game in Beantown.

The Bulls did win 5 of their final 6 games to close the regular season, with that one loss coming in the season finale against Toronto to drop Chicago to the 7th spot in the East. Still, we give the Bulls a definite shot at staying inside the number in this one, especially with KG watching from the bench.

Play on Chicago.

2♦ CHICAGO
 
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Karl Garrett

Detroit at CLEVELAND

The NBA postseason begins today, and one thing is for certain, Detroit and Cleveland are all set to play another slow it down, grind it out, drag it out affair, as Game One follows the emerging UNDER trend these teams have been posting when they get together.

ALL 4 of the teams regular season games stayed UNDER the total, as Detroit and Cleveland have now played UNDER (postseason included), in 8 straight meetings, and 14 of the last 18 meetings overall.

Obviously, the linesmakers know all about the LOW trend between the teams, but the adjusted total won't matter, as these teams play their 9th in a row UNDER the posted price.

G-Man going LOW in this one boys!

3♦ UNDER
 
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Drew Gordon

LA Angels at MINNESOTA -130

We all know the Twins' Kevin Slowey is better than his current 7.94 ERA, and tonight he gets the perfect match up to prove it. After Friday's ugly 8th inning collapse by the Angels, not to mention the injury to Guerrero, one has to wonder about the Halos psyche right now. They've lost 3 of their last 4 (all on the road), and with a bonafide reliever forced to make the start tonight, all signs point to a solid Twins win in this one.

Speaking of bonafide relievers, southpaw Darren Oliver gets the start for the Angels tonight. While he's got the stuff, I'm not sure we can expect anything more than 5 innings out of Oliver tonight (he went 6 innings in the 2006 NLCS, but that was a long time ago). With the Angels bullpen struggling (8.19 ERA on the season), a relatively short start by Oliver could easily spell their doom.

Also, you have to like what we saw from this Twins offense yesterday, 11 runs on 13 hits, including Jason Kubel hitting for the cycle! Minnesota excelled vs lefties last season, ranking 4th in runs scored (252) and batting a solid .275 against them!

Bottom line, look for Slowey, who had an excellent Spring, to get back on track in this contest. Remember guys, Slowey was 7-4 with a solid 3.38 ERA at the Metrodome last season. We're getting solid value (based on the match up) thanks to his early season struggles, but rest-assured, he'll break out in this contest. While on the flip side, if you want to trust your money with Darren Oliver as the Angels starter, be my guest, but I sure as hell won't. Play on the Twinkies!

Take Minnesota behind Slowey over the LA Angels and Oliver in this MLB match up.

2♦ MINNESOTA


Chicago at BOSTON -8'

You really think the oddsmakers haven't factored in the Kevin Garnett injury into this number? You really think Vegas is going to allow Joe Schmo to win big in tonight's Game 1 of this Eastern Conference series by betting the Bulls? Everyone in the world knows Garnett is not playing, and most average bettors are clamoring to jump aboard the Bulls at this "bargain" price... I couldn't disagree more and here's why:

First of all, make no mistake, this is a statement game for the Celtics. With the world basically giving up on them, the defending champs now finally have something to prove, and the Bulls get to be their measuring stick... Not a good spot to be in for a VERY average Eastern Conference team.

Second, this is not a good match up for Chicago, as they got crushed both times they played at TD Banknorth Garden this season, losing by 18 and 16 points respectively in those contests! In fact, the Bulls are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings against Boston!

Also, let's not forget what happened last season, as the Celtics took the Hawks lightly, and ended up having to fight for their playoff lives because of it. The Celtics won't make the same mistake twice, as the Bulls aren't nearly as good as that Hawks team was, and quite frankly, they're just happy to be here.

Bottom line, against a superior foe, the absence of Garnett will be felt, but not against a much lesser foe like Chicago. In this case, Glen Davis will do just fine, as he's got the offensive skills, and enough knowledge of the system to hold down the defensive end against the Bulls. In the end, look for Boston to make a real statement here, blowing the doors off the Bulls in the process Saturday afternoon.

Take Boston over Chicago in Game 1 of this NBA Playoffs match up.

3♦ BOSTON
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Detroit at CLEVELAND -11'

Got the FREE winner on Friday with the Padres as they beat the Phillies in Philadelphia and got us some nice plus-money. Today we're on the NBA hardwood with a play on the under in the Pistons-Cavaliers contest from Cleveland.

Forget the spread in this one, concentrate on the total as we have this matchup coming well under the posted number.

When these teams get together, it always seems like the under is the play. Detroit is on under runs of 18-7-1 as a playoff underdog and 24-9-1 when it gets two days off. Now that really tells us something about this veteran team. When they get a little relaxation time and can get the legs fresh, they come out and deliver a dynamic defensive effort.

Cleveland is on a huge run of under plays, inclding 22-8 after a spread-cover, 6-1-1 at home, 4-1 when they get two days off, 7-3-1 as a favorite and a huge 39-19-1 as a home favorite. The Cavs can play defense, no doubt, but can they score enough points, especially in the playoffs. We just don't see it happening today.

LeBron James and his team can shut a squad down when they focus, but if he goes cold and doesn't get some fastbreak, easy points, the Cavs will be tight in this one. Not saying they won't win, but it's going to be one of those classic, ugly Cleveland-Detroit games where the final ends up 85-79.

Definitely take the under in this opener of the seven-game series.

4♦ UNDER
 
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Craig Davis

Today’s 10th free winner in 14 days is on the Boston Celtics. Forget the Kevin Garnett talk, this team has still been winning without him and it’s not like they’ve completely given up because KG can’t play. This is still a team full of professionals that has one goal in mind… REPEAT. Don’t forget that Paul Pierce, Rajon Rondo and a host of others haven’t forgotten how to play basketball just because they don’t have their main big man. They can still play defense and they still have their two best shooters on the floor. Chicago has had their struggles against the Celts recently, dropping seven of the last eight vs. the Vegas number, losing the last 7 SU by an average of over 16 PPG. That’s pure domination. Celtics roll today and I get Bonus Play WINNER #10 in 14 days.

3? BOSTON
 
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Jake Timlin

Destined for another trip to the NBA finals I look for the Cavaliers to open up the playoffs with a blowout. Yes, now that Boston is going to be without Kevin Garnett - possibly for the entire postseason - the Cavaliers are going to have an easy go of it starting today against a Detroit team they owned this season.

Cleveland has not only won 11 of the last 16 meeting straight-up, including three in a row, but the Cavs have also covered eight of the last nine clashes. Plus, given their 39-2 SU mark at home this season it’s easy to expect Cleveland to continue their dominance here today.

The Pistons closed the regular season by losing six of their last 12 on the floor and 10 of their final 14 versus the oddsmakers. Even worse, they went 1-5 SU/ATS in their final six road outings.

There's not much hope for Detroit in this series and with Cleveland looking to open the postseason with a bang, I expect nothing short of a blowout as the Cavaliers open with a 20-point rout.

PICK: Cleveland Cavaliers
 
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Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

The Rangers get their asses handed to them yesterday and snaps our three-game winning streak.

That’s fine as we’re getting back on the winning today as we’re headed to the hardwood where we’re taking the Boston Celtics at home against the visiting Chicago Bulls in the first round of the NBA postseason.

In their last 8 games against Chicago, Boston is on a 7-1 ATS winning streak and has taken 6 of their last 7 SU against the Bulls. Also, over that 7-game stretch the Celtics have outscored the Bulls, on average, 109.1-94.7.

Today, Boston is installed as a favorite of about 8 1/2 points. And in this series the favorite has covered 6 of the last 7 meetings and the home team is on a 5-1 ATS run.

Keep in mind, too, that the Bulls have failed to cover in each of their last 4 games in Boston and have covered in only 12 of their last 37 against the Atlantic Division.

Boston is 7-3 ATS its last 10 games overall and will cover once again against the visiting Bulls. Take the Celtics easily in this one.

3♦ CELTICS
 
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Matt Rivers

For Saturday take the coin with the Diamondbacks.

There are certainly some factors going against us today but neither Tim Lincecum nor the Giants right now can be laying a big price.

Last year's Cy Young winner has been flat out awful this season. I watched Lincecum get blasted in San Diego last time out as he just did not have it at all. That may have even been the better outing of his two so far on the young season.

Doug Davis is certainly nobody that I would put my mortgage on or fully trust but he is a lefty and the way the Giants have been hitting, or not hitting I should say, I'll take my chances with the veteran Southpaw.

Both teams have underachieved mightily this season and have yet to really get going. But when it comes to the better overall squad that title clearly belongs to the visiting Diamondbacks as Byrnes, Reynolds, Drew, Hudson and the Snakes are a team that can win the NL West whereas the Giants' ceiling is probably around the .500 mark. San Fran is better than they have shown but me and 10 of my best friends are better than what they have shown so even with some improvement they are not all that at all.

At some point Lincecum will rebound and show that he is great but until he does that I can't pass up this handsome price!
 
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Arizona D-backs +145

Lincecum has struggled early on in the season and therefore is not worthy of the hefty juice odds makers are asking bettors to lay on him. In fact, last year's Cy Young winner brings a 7.56 ERA into this contest. The Giants have lost 6 of their last 7 games and they will face a tough task tonight as division rival Arizona will be hungry for a win after getting shut out yesterday. The Giants are 0-7 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series and 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Giants have struggled in the second game of a series no matter who is on the hill as they are 1-4 in Lincecum's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series and are showing excellent value today. Take the Snakes.
 
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Jeff Benton

For the second day in a row, the Padres rallied from a big deficit as a huge underdog, this time beating the Phillies on Friday and giving me my seventh straight free-play winner, all in baseball. Not only that, but I’ve hit 16 of my last 22 freebies! Let’s keep it rolling on Saturday as we back the Reds as a small road ‘dog at Houston.

Cincinnati got two runs in the top of the ninth inning yesterday to stun the Astros 2-1, improving to 4-1 in its last five games. Today, the Reds are going with ace Aaron Harang, who looks to have bounced back from a rough 2008, as he’s pitched two gems to start the season. He was a tough-luck 2-1 loser on Opening Day against the Mets and Johan Santana, giving up just a run in five innings, then followed that with Sunday’s 2-0 complete-game shutout victory over the Pirates, scattering three hits, walking none and striking out nine in the nine innings.

Tonight, Harang goes up against an Astros offense that’s been held to three runs or fewer in seven of its 10 games, including scoring two runs or fewer five times. Also, Harang has enjoyed pitching at Minute Maid Park the last few years, giving up just 14 earned runs in his last five starts in Houston covering 44 2/3 innings (2.82 ERA), with the Reds going 4-1.

At the same time, with lefty Wandy Rodriguez on the Hill, Houston has lost four straight home games to Cincinnati, including a pair of 2-1 decisions last August. Throw in the Reds’ 11-4 record in their last 15 starts against southpaw starters and their 21-10 mark in their last 31 when Harang is an underdog, that’s good enough for me. Take the Reds as your eighth consecutive free-play winner!

4♦ CINCINNATI REDS
 
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Nick Parsons

Montreal Canadiens @ Boston Bruins

The Canadiens showed they weren't physically intimidated by the Boston Bruins in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal, but coach Bob Gainey said the team will have to tap into its reserves for Game 2 and come up with more offense; this is something I expect them to do as I believe we are getting fantastic value here. It's interesting to note that Montreal is in fact a great 16-11 its last 27 after allowing 4 goals or more! I recommend a value play on MONTREAL!
 
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Big Al Mcmordie

Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics
Prediction: Boston Celtics

At 12:30 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago, as Boston falls into a 35-13 system of mine, as well as a 30-8 ATS angle. Granted, the Celtics will be hard-pressed to win the title this season without Kevin Garnett on the floor (though I'm certain he will attempt to suit up at some point in the post-season). But they're certainly good enough to win at home, in Game 1 of the Playoffs vs. these Baby Bulls. After all, this is the same Chicago team that, in a game it sorely wanted to win on Wednesday vs. Toronto, was blown out by the Raptors. And that game was on Chicago's home court. Look for an old-fashioned blowout in Beantown this afternoon. Lay the points.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Over

These two ought to knock each other's staffs all over the Metrodome again tonight. Darrin Oliver has been rocked at this venue with a hefty 6.83 ERA in five tries. He's facing a lineup that clocked southpaws in home night action a season ago. One scary thought for Mike Scioscia is his bullpen. Thought to be the one savior while his starters get healthy, the pen has taken their lumps through the first 11 days of the season, getting crushed again last night. I also expect the Halos to plate their share of runs. Kevin Slowey has not found much success against LAA and he's a notoriously slow starter, sporting a career 8.36 ERA in the month of April going into this season. Well, he's been "better" this April, posting a 7.94 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in two trips to the bump. Look for another high-scoring battle and for this contest to sail Over the total.
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks
Prediction: Calgary Flames

The Flames blew it last in Game 1 and a controversial goal in OT cost them the game but tonight it will be diiferent. Calgary will be a desperate team tonight and they'll overwhelm a young Chicago team. The Blackhawks have owned the Flames winning the last 5 meetings between the clubs but tonight that winning streak is snapped. Look for a lot better game from Calgary to tie up the series. Play on the Calgary Flames +.
 

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